Jonathan Rauch

Sighhh. (via Wonk Blog) 

Sighhh. (via Wonk Blog

Calculated Risk - Public and Private Payrolls Under Bush and Obama

A big difference between Mr. Bush’s tenure in office and Mr. Obama’s presidency has been public sector employment. The public sector grew during Mr. Bush’s term (up 1,748,000 jobs), but the public sector has declined since Obama took office (down 718,000 jobs). These job losses have mostly been at the state and local level, but they are still a significant drag on overall employment.

Another important difference: I started warning about the housing bubble in 2004, and I started this blog in January 2005 - the beginning of Mr. Bush’s 2nd term.  My focus in 2005 was on the housing bubble and coming recession.  Now - at a similar point in Mr. Obama’s tenure - I expect the economy to continue to expand, so I don’t expect a sharp decline in employment as happened at the end of Mr. Bush’s 2nd term.

Paul Krugman - American Austerity, An Update:

Spending is down to what it was before the recession, and also significantly lower than it was under Reagan. Bear in mind that in the years since the recession began we’ve seen a significant number of boomers reach retirement age, which would ordinarily have led to rising spending, not to mention the effects of rising health care costs. Bear in mind also that the private sector is still deleveraging, which means that government should be spending more to help sustain the economy. So this is actually a picture of very bad policy.

Paul Krugman - American Austerity, An Update:

Spending is down to what it was before the recession, and also significantly lower than it was under Reagan. Bear in mind that in the years since the recession began we’ve seen a significant number of boomers reach retirement age, which would ordinarily have led to rising spending, not to mention the effects of rising health care costs. Bear in mind also that the private sector is still deleveraging, which means that government should be spending more to help sustain the economy. So this is actually a picture of very bad policy.

"We need to reduce household debt across the board, especially mortgage debt and student-loan debate. Individual debt-adjustment programs are too slow and administratively complex. Moderate inflation - the 2% to 4% of the quarter century after World War II and then again of the 1980s - amounts to gradual debt relief. Yes, that’s a tax on savers. But as we saw in the 1950s and 1960s and again in the 1980s, savers benefit too from a growing economy."

— David Frum, This Country Needs Inflation

"While the debate over megabanks sometimes sounds technical, in fact it is quite simple. Ask this question: If a humongous financial institution gets into trouble, is this a big deal for economic growth, unemployment, and the like? Or, more bluntly, could Citigroup or a similar-size European firm get into trouble and stumble again toward failure without attracting some form of government and central bank support (whether transparent or somewhat disguised)?"

— Simon Johnson, Big Banks’ Tall Tales.

New York TimesObama Says Gun Lobby ‘Willfully Lied’ After Senate Vote

The final vote was 54-46. A majority was in favor! And until this is properly reported, people won’t understand why Washington can’t get anything done. 

The final vote was 54-46. A majority was in favor! And until this is properly reported, people won’t understand why Washington can’t get anything done.